Investment strategist Magnus Heystek, who is well known for his brutally straightforward views on the economy, has become a cautiously optimistic man. In this interview with BizNews, he shares the positive signs he has picked up from following all the economic indicators – and lists the priorities that remain to prevent a return to the edge of the abyss. “…after 10 years of saying things are bad, I’m saying things are starting to look generally a little bit better, provided the Government of National Unity sticks to its task and manages to cobble a coalition together and do the right things.”  However, he adds this warning” “The danger is, of course, that there’s a political fallout as some people have predicted, and the new government falls apart, then the risks are all back on the table.” Meanwhile, he has already invested in more property in South Africa…

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Highlights from the interview

Investment strategist Magnus Heystek, known for his candid views on the South African economy, expresses cautious optimism. Heystek clarifies that his previous critical assessments were based on facts and independence from major corporations, reflecting the economy’s poor state over the past decade. He mentions that former Reserve Bank Deputy Governor confirmed South Africa’s near-economic collapse two years ago. Heystek notes recent improvements in key economic indicators, likening them to a patient in ICU showing signs of recovery.

One major positive is the absence of nationwide blackouts for 104 days, suggesting improvements in Eskom’s operations, including maintenance and private sector investments in electricity. Additionally, the country has seen a budget surplus excluding interest costs for the first time in 15 years, and legal actions against corrupt politicians are progressing.

Despite these improvements, Heystek advises against repatriating offshore investments due to better returns abroad. However, he acknowledges the potential in local balanced and property funds, particularly in the Western Cape, where property markets are buoyed by wealthy and skilled migrants. Heystek highlights the dire state of residential property outside the Western Cape and poor returns on local pension funds, leading to wealth erosion for the middle class.

Heystek concludes by emphasizing the need for continued focus on infrastructure improvements in railways, ports, and electricity. He remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on political stability and effective governance, which could lead to significant economic recovery in the coming years.